The major conflicts that marked 2024 continue to burn in 2025. US-China rivalry shows no sign of abating and Donald Trump’s return to the presidency on January 20 was followed in short order by a string of executive orders which signaled key changes to American policies around deportations, trade, tax, climate and AI.
The interplay of longer-running tensions with potential short-term disruptions promises to make 2025 a particularly turbulent year, albeit one with opportunities for states in Asia and Africa.
In this summary of Oxford Analytica’s recent webinar, Prospects: A Turbulent 2025, we provide our key forecasts for core countries, regions, and topics in the year ahead. This includes the United States, the global economy, technology regulation, the Middle East and more.
